Credit Spreads Are Too Tight
Investment-grade and high-yield spreads are near post-GFC tights. History suggests this level of complacency is rarely rewarded.
Independent Macro & Equity Research
Rigorous analysis of macroeconomic trends, company valuations, and market structure. No conflicts, no hype -- just research.
Investment-grade and high-yield spreads are near post-GFC tights. History suggests this level of complacency is rarely rewarded.
A structural view on crude oil markets heading into Q2 2026, covering OPEC+ supply dynamics, demand projections, and geopolitical risk premia.
The DXY has rallied to 106. We examine the implications for emerging market assets and the feedback loop between dollar strength and global liquidity.
An analysis of the yen carry trade unwind and what rising volatility means for levered positioning across global macro.
A deep-dive valuation analysis on Nvidia, examining whether current multiples are justified by the AI infrastructure buildout thesis.
A comprehensive discounted cash flow model with sensitivity analysis, WACC calculation, and terminal value assumptions. Built for public equity analysis.
Leveraged buyout model with debt schedule, returns analysis, and operating assumptions. Suitable for private equity transaction modeling.
A structured dashboard for tracking key macroeconomic indicators including rates, spreads, and real economy data.